CONNED WITH THE WIND
Obama's Climatic Hoax
Georges Metanomski
|
In 1835 the story "The Emperor's New Clothes" was published in Copenhagen. In December
2009 the same Copenhagen welcomes the Climate-Emperor
Obama dressed up in wind woven clothes, swearing
to choke with them the Global Warming. Is
there still a child left who'll dare to say
that the Emperor is naked?
|
INTRODUCTION
PAGE 2.
President Obama got the Nobel Prize inter
allia because "the USA is now playing
a more constructive role in meeting the great
climatic challenges the world is confronting."
Brushing aside the smoke-screen of this highbrow
verbiage we find that the "constructive
role" boils down to President Obama's vow to limit the
Global Warming to 2 degrees against $150
billion of taxpayers' money.
Now, that's the most absurd pledge ever made
by a chief of state in full control of his
faculties, just as silly as would be the
pledge to decrease gravity. We shall justify
this assertion in the body of the present
essay, which may be read as a nomination
of President Obama for The Guinness Absurdity
Record, which would compensate for his Nobel
Prize.
The vow is just a bad joke, but the fraudulent
extortion of taxpayers' $150 billion is no
joke at all.
In the light of President Obama's personality
we cannot lay this fraud at his door. It's
more likely his naivety, which fell for lobbying
powers of the fraudulent wind power mafia,
which envisages ultimately trousering most
of the extorted money. His naivety, which
proposes to castigate the wicked climate
with blows of windmill blades, like Xerxes
castigated the wicked sea with chain lashes.
We shall discuss the absurd vow and the deceptive
techniques supposed to materialize it, respectively
in the chapters "Global Warming"
and "Wind Energy".
Page 3
GLOBAL WARMING
Page 4
Global Warming (GW) is doubtless one of the
most important, critical problems that mankind
is facing. It concerns science, sociology,
economy and politics. Unfortunately, it became
entirely embroiled in politics which discovered
its panic generating quality. Now, panic
is the strongest leverage in political campaigns,
driving bandwagon sheep to jump like one
yahoo over such precipices as may please
the driver.
The discovery of GW as a form of panic generating
political leverage has to be ascribed to
Margaret Thatcher who did not care a button
about climate, but searched a ruse to suppress
the revolt of callously exploited coal miners.
She suppressed it together with the miners
and the mines, to the advantage of the nuclear
industry which produces no CO2 and was supposed
to cool down the planet. Using GW leverage
slickly and astutely in her wake, some Gore
may get a Noble Price, some politician may
be elected as President.
With what impact on the GW and its sequels?
Rigorously, NONE. They don't care a damn
about it, other than as a political leverage
and even if they cared, there is nothing,
they could possibly do.
Let's try to examine the problem coolly and
logically.
GW has two kinds of causes: human and natural,
the latter earth bound and cosmic. Starting
with natural, we observe that GW has happened
several times in history as one of two phases
of a more general cyclic structure GW/GF
(Global Freezing).
Page 5
Historic cycles had clearly natural causes,
most of which are as yet unknown. One, however,
is rigorously, albeit only qualitatively
known: melting and re-freezing of glaciers
and other ice caps. We shall use it as a
typical example of natural causes at work,
sufficient by itself to account for the GW/GF
cyclic structure.
Earth surface encompasses white ice areas
reflecting heat radiated by the sun and other
dark ones absorbing it. In the steady state
of ice/not-ice distribution and a constant
amount of radiated heat, the absorption to
reflection ratio stays constant and the climate
does not change. Yet, the smallest distortion
may change this equilibrium.
Let's suppose that one year the sun emits
more heat and then returns to the constant
yearly rate. The triggering change warms
up the earth more than usually, so that more
ice melts. Then, next year less heat is reflected
and more absorbed, so that still more ice
melts and we enter the recursive chain of
the GW phase. Nothing seems to stay in the
way of earth losing all its ice caps and
becoming a Sahara interspaced with hot seas.
Yet, each GW was followed by a GF, in turn
by a GW, etc.
Which natural mechanism may reverse GW into
GF and vice versa?
There must be several, both earth bound and
cosmic and mostly unknown, but for our ice
driven cycle the answer is clear: the salt.
Page 6
Oceans are salted and salt waters freeze
at lower temperature than the fresh. Snow
and ice melting copiously during the GW,
flood oceans with fresh water decreasing
their salinity and increasing their freezing
temperature, so that over a threshold they
start to freeze again over larger surfaces
and the phase moves to GF and towards a new
glacial period.
Pseudo-scientific committees commanded by
politicians, proclaimed that GW is caused
with 80% certainty by human actions, and
reversible by their reversal.
Double lie:
1."Caused" should be replaced with
"triggered". It's possible that
greenhouse triggered GW, as any tiny distortion
could upset the fragile unstable equilibrium.
However, once triggered and entered in the
ice melting phase, GW is CAUSED by ice melting.
Similarly, the [power of pedals may push
a bike over the summit and TRIGGER its descent
whose CAUSE, however, is gravity, a natural
agent.
2. Supposing that Greenhouse indeed triggered
the GW, its triggering effect loses all avail
upon entering the ice melting phase, which
thrives by its own recursion and certainly
cannot be "un-triggered" by reducing
emissions nor even by eliminating them entirely.
The pedals might have triggered the descent.
Still, you may backpedal till you are blue
in the face, but gravity will not notice
it and the descent will continue undisturbed.
Page 7
Just like the GW, unaffected by Kyoto Protocols,
by green presidential campaigns and by the
anti-American propaganda. Until the bike
has passed the valley and starts climbing
the opposite slope, or the GW phase switches
- always by natural causes - to the GF phase.
You may trigger an avalanche by pulling the
trigger of your gun, but you won't stop it
by pushing back the trigger.
Which actions seem advisable in this light?
1. Dissociate GW from Pollution, a distinct,
equally critical problem, which should be
investigated in its own context, unaffected
by the political GW drivel.
2. Consider GW as possibly inevitable and
start to plan worst case actions to save
millions endangered by famine, inundations,
and other GW sequels.
3. In order to concretize and to finance
these actions, stop subsidizing fraudulent
and useless phantasms such as intermittent
energy sources (photo-voltaic and mainly
the wind mafia stealing heavy billions from
the tax payers and sharing them with corrupted
politicians.) Allegorically speaking, stop
flagellating the sea with chains, in the
wake of Xerxes, while fattening chain manufacturers.
Page 8
WIND ENERGY
We restrict the discussion of the deceptive
«green energy» plants to Wind Energy, as
it is on the one hand typical of all intermittent
sources and, on the other hand its volume
exceeds by far all other «green energies».
Page 9
PRODUCTIVITY
Intermittency
Intermittent energy requires reserves for
inactive periods. One cannot expect households
to stop their heating or refrigerators, nor
industry to stop its operations, just because
the wind stopped blowing.
Now, reserves must come from plants capable
to start, stop, change the rate in matter
of minutes, which practically restricts them
to fossil plants (oil, gas, coal). Fossil
plants are the most polluting even in permanent
regime. In the irregular regime of reserves
their pollution ratio is still increased
by a large factor.
An intermittent source provides only that
part of its installed capacity, which corresponds
to the periods of activity. Now, wind turbines
shut down for:
-wind too weak,
-wind too strong (for security reasons),
-wind-blasts (for security reasons),
-ideal conditions, when all wind turbines
work at full capacity, because it would heat
white the high tension lines, which were
not build to accommodate wind energy picks.
Page 10
Their productive capacity, corresponding
to the periods of activity has been evaluated
in the 2005 report of E. On, the leading
German electricity provider controlling about
15 000 wind turbines.
A quote from E. On report_2005
"In 2004 two major German studies investigated
the size of contribution that wind farms
make towards guaranteed capacity. Both studies
separately came to virtually identical conclusions,
that wind energy currently contributes to
the secure production capacity of the system,
by providing 8% of its installed capacity.
That is, wind power construction must be
accompanied by almost equal construction
of new conventional power plants, which will
be used very nearly as much as if the wind
turbines were not there."
Translated to ordinary language, E. On considers
wind power as mere window dressing behind
which the real work is done by fossil reserves.
Internal energy consumption
Large wind turbines require a large amount
of energy to operate. Other electricity plants
generally use their own electricity, and
the difference between the amount they generate
and the amount delivered to the grid is readily
determined. Wind plants, however, use electricity
from the grid, which does not appear to be
accounted for in their output figures.
Page 11
The manufacturers of large turbines do not
include electricity consumption in the specifications
they provide.
In order not to overcharge the body of the
essay, the details of the internal energy
consumption are presented in the Appendix.
In their light it seems reasonable to assume
that wind turbines consume more than 50%
of energy they produce in their own operation.
With the internal consumption added to intermittency
reducing the productive capacity to 8% of
the installed, wind turbines may produce
less energy than they draw - perhaps unpaid
for - from the grid.
Adjusted PIR
E. On's PIR (Productive/Installed Ratio)
of 8% does not account for the internal energy
consumption (about 50% of produced energy).
Accordingly adjusted PIR of 4% tallies with
the study of the Deutsche-Energie Agentur,
which concludes:
"while wind power capacity will reach
48 GW by 2020 in Germany, the source is so
intermittent and unreliable that it is equivalent
to only 2 GW of stable fossil fuel capacity."
Now, 2/48 is indeed equal to 4%.
Page 12
Wind share of electricity production.
Media give the wind share of electricity
production arbitrarily, without any justification,
as 19% for Denmark,
11% for Spain and Portugal, and 7% for Germany
and Ireland.
The German Wind Energy Association (BWE),
which cannot be suspected of anti-wind bias
claims only 5% for Germany. This claim is
based upon an estimated PIR of 16%.
Corrected for the adjusted E. On's PIR of
4%, the wind share in German electricity
production may be reasonably evaluated at
1.25% (0.5% * 4/16).
Media overestimate the wind share of German
production by the factor of 5.6 (7 / 1.25).
Applying this factor to media estimates quoted
above, we get corrected estimations for:
Germany - 1.25% instead of 7% Spain and Portugal
- 2% instead of 11% Denmark - 3.4% instead
of the famous 19%.
Page 13
SOME USUAL CLICHES ADVERTISING WIND POWER
CLICHE: Wind energy is a practical, efficient
alternative. COMMENT: 18 000 German wind
turbines produce 1.25% of German electric
energy. To have an idea of wind efficiency,
imagine a train replacing electric or diesel
engines with sails. Wind energy is a NON-ALTERNATIVE.
CLICHE: Wind energy is clean. COMMENT: True
for 8% of time. For the rest, taken integrally
with reserves it is the most polluting form
of energy.
CLICHE: Wind energy is an alternative to
Nuclear. COMMENT: False. Shelving for the
moment that Wind is a NON-ALTERNATIVE to
anything: In order to replace French Nuclear
one would have to cover all available places
in France THREE TIMES with turbines, change
France to 3 layers of turbines standing on
top of one another. With fossil plants on
top of them for 92% of the installed wind
power.
Page 14
SOME ADDITIONAL CHARACTERISTICS
One does not get a full picture just by negating
false cliches. Let's recall some characteristics
of wind power less known to the public.
COST. A wind KWH is 9 times more expensive
(in France and Germany) than the traditional.
That, for the operative 8%. For 92% of reserve
use the ratio varies from 14 to 40 under
normal reserves availability (see next paragraph).
The extra cost is carried by the citizen
in form of tax increase
(state subventions of wind power), or electricity
bill.
IMPACT ON RESERVES AND ON GRID. Reserves
control is one of most complex issues of
electric grid management. Reserves are used,
of course, not only to support wind power,
but to compensate for any unforeseen drop
in supply, like failure of a transformer,
etc. Reserves management is in hands of a
central command unit of a provider. Once
facing emergency
(e. g. a meteo message warning of closing
the turbines), the manager considers an internet
site offering reserves by international auction.
Offer and demand determine the price, which
usually fluctuates between 14 and 40 times
that of traditional supply. Occasionally
it reached 500 and more. But what if there
are no available reserves? Simply a black-out
like that in the US, in Greece and in Italy.
One or two wind turbines of course don't
count. But thousands contribute seriously
to disequilibrate the grids. A study concludes
that if the increase trend continues, the
wind power may cause a several months black-out
for whole Europe, with devastation comparable
to that of the WWII.
Page 15
The only way to avoid it is to follow E.
On's example and to build dedicated fossil
reserve plants with capacity nearly equal
to that of the new wind plants.
SUBSOIL. Pictures from the energy companies
show slim towers rising cleanly from the
landscape or hovering faintly in the distant
haze, their presence modulated by soft clouds
behind them. But a 200- to 300-foot tower
supporting a turbine housing the size of
a bus and three 100- to 150-foot rotor blades
sweeping over an acre of air at more than
100 mph requires, for a start, a large and
solid foundation. On a GE 1.5-MW tower, the
turbine housing, or nacelle, weighs over
56 tons, the blade assembly weighs over 36
tons, and the whole tower assembly totals
over 163 tons. As FPL (Florida Power &
Light) Energy says, "a typical turbine
site takes about a 42×42-foot-square graveled
area." Each tower
(and a site needs at least 15-20 towers to
make investment worthwhile) requires a huge
hole filled with steel rebar– reinforced
concrete (e. g., 1,250 tons in each foundation
at the facility in Lamar, Colo.). According
to Country Guardian, the hole is large enough
to fit three double-decker buses. At the
89-turbine Top of Iowa facility, the foundation
of each
323-foot assembly is a 7-feet-deep 42-feet-diameter
octagon filled with 25,713 pounds of reinforced
steel and 181 cubic yards of concrete. The
foundations at the Wild Horse project in
Washington are 30 feet deep. At Buffalo Mountain
in Tennessee, too, each foundation is at
least 30 feet deep and may contain more than
3,500 cubic yards of concrete (production
of which is a major source of CO2).
Page 16
On Cefn Croes in Wales the developer built
a complete concrete factory on the site,
which is not unusual, as well as opened quarries
to provide rock for new roads -- neither
of which activities were part of the original
planning application.
On many such mountain ridges as well as other
locations, it would be necessary to blast
into the bedrock, as Enxco's New England
representative, John Zimmerman, has confirmed,
possibly disrupting the water sources for
wells downhill. At the Waymart plant in Pennsylvania,
the foundations extend
30-40 feet into the bedrock. At Romney Marsh
in southern England, foundation pillars will
be sunk 110 feet. For each 6-feet-deep foundation
at the Crescent Ridge facility in Illinois,
another
24 feet was dug out and filled with sand.
Construction at a site on the Slieve Aughty
range in Ireland in October 2003 caused a
2.5-mile-long bog slide.
ENVIRONMENT. German League of Landscape Protection
compares wind turbines devastation of environment
with that of the 30 years war.
BIRDS. The "Bird Grinders" kill
millions of birds a year in Germany.
NUISANCES. Noise, stroboscopic effects, disco
effects, and infrasounds impact the health
and the quality of life of close residents.
These effects were used as tortures by Nazis
and/or Gulag, more acutely of course, but
qualitatively alike.
Page 17
PROJECTIONS. 50 kg blocks of ice projected
at 1 km. In several cases of brake's failure
30m long and 3 tons heavy blades were projected
at 500m.
REAL MOTIVATION
One may ask, why wind turbines are so progressing,
if they are inefficient, polluting, depletable,
costly, devastating environment, harmful
to neighbors' health, life quality and life
itself?
Money is the answer. Wind power is probably
the biggest fraud of the century. The German
wind lobby grifted in the present decade
50 billion Euros from the taxpayers in form
of subventions, tax reductions, interest
free credits and law obliging providers to
buy Wind Energy at 9 times the current cost.
One estimates that 30% of this money goes
to bribe involved politicians from ministers
and lawmakers to village mayors.
CHOKING REAL ALTERNATIVES
But we did not yet tell the worst: draining
all money and resources, the Wind Monster
chokes other really clean and sustainable
alternatives.
In Brittany, traditionally competent in things
of the sea, a company produced an efficient
prototype of "hydrolienne", a sea
current turbine. Now, that is clean, permanent
(no reserves) and environment friendly.
Page 18
The company is going broke for want of 500
thousand Euro. A small fraction of grifted
billions could save it and its product.
ABS REPORT
Some of crucial assertions of the present
essay are supported by the ABS report, as
can be seen in the following excerpts:
The most important findings of this report
highlight studies that raise critical concerns
challenging some of the claims made for wind
power.
These studies are the first real evidence
showing how wind actually works, as opposed
to what has been claimed, and come from some
of the most authoritative voices on energy
in the world. Reports from E. On Netz, the
system operator with the largest wind power
feed-in in the world, and Eltra of Denmark,
which had the largest percentage wind power
contribution, show disturbing results.
E. On cites a study from the Deutsche-Energie
Agentur. The report was sponsored by the
German government and all sides of the industry.
Among bombshells contained inside, the study
suggests that while wind power capacity will
reach 48 GW by
2020 in Germany, the source is so intermittent
and unreliable that it is equivalent to only
2 GW of stable fossil fuel capacity.
... because of this variability in wind,
back-up fossil fuel plants must be operated
at low load to maintain system reliability.
Page 19
There is new evidence that shows that switching
base load fossil fuel plants on and off to
balance a system produces higher carbon emissions
than continuous operation, certainly not
a supposed benefit from switching to renewable
energy sources.
Because wind installations tend to be concentrated
in areas with high wind speeds, regional
grids are heavily overloaded at times of
maximum feed-in. Each country studied reported
extreme difficulties in balancing the grid.
A further 2,700 km of costly high voltage
transmission lines will be required in Germany
to accommodate new wind capacity.
Page 20
POSTFACE
Setting benefits of wind power against its
drawbacks we find
on the one hand nearly nothing - wind power
boils down to a political window dressing,
concealing the fossil reserves doing practically
all the work in the background;
and, on the other hand:
-highest pollution rate of the irregularly
operating background reserves,
-economic disaster,
-environment devastation comparable with
that of the 30 years war,
-choking of all pertinent renewable energy
options,
-and last, but not least, effects used by
the Nazis as tortures inflicted on neighboring
populations.
We read in the ABS report: "ABS Energy
Research's report does not relegate wind
power to the dustbin... objective analysis
is essential."
They had to cream their report with a bit
of political cosmetics, but "objective
analysis" seems, indeed, essential and
clearly indicates that the dustbin is the
only suitable place for wind power and that
the citizens are taken for ride by the fraudulent
mafia and corrupted governance.
Page 21
APPENDIX.
Internal energy consumption.
NOTE: The appendix consists of direct quotations
of several American studies and may contain
terms discordant with those used in the body
of the essay. The complex technical details
kept undisclosed by wind turbine manufacturers
continue to imply a lot of investigation.
The hinted possibility of drawing from the
grid unpaid for millions worth of electricity,
if proved, would come in the province of
public prosecutors.
Page 22
Among the functions of wind turbines using
electricity are the following:
-Yaw mechanism keeping the rotor perpendicular
to the wind.
(the nacelle (turbine housing) and blades
together weigh 92 tons on a GE 1.5-MW turbine).
-Blade-pitch control keeping the rotors spinning
regularly.
-Lights, controllers, communication, sensors,
metering, data collection, etc.
-Heating the blades which may require 10%-20%
of the nominal
(rated) power
-Heating and dehumidifying the nacelle.
-Oil heater, pump, cooler, and filtering
system in gearbox.
-Hydraulic brake locking the blades in very
high wind.
-Thyristors graduating the connection and
disconnection between generator and grid.
-Magnetizing the stator. The induction generators
used in most large grid-connected turbines
require a large amount of continuous electricity
from the grid to actively power the magnetic
coils around the asynchronous "cage
rotor" that encloses the generator shaft;
Page 23
at the rated wind speeds, it helps keep the
rotor speed constant, and as the wind starts
blowing it helps start the rotor turning
(see next item); in the rated wind speeds,
the stator may use power equal to 10% of
the turbine's rated capacity, in slower winds
possibly much more.
-Using the generator as a motor (to help
the blades start to turn when the wind speed
is low or, as many suspect, to maintain the
illusion that the facility is producing electricity
when it is not, particularly during important
site tours) it seems possible that the grid-magnetized
stator must work to help keep the 40-ton
blade assembly spinning, along with the gears
that increase the blade rpm some 50 times
for the generator, not just at cut-in (or
for show in even less wind) but at least
some of the way up towards the full rated
wind speed; it may also be spinning the blades
and rotor shaft to prevent warping when there
is no wind, or - some cases have been reported
- just to show that turbines are not idling.
-It may be that each turbine consumes more
than 50% of its rated capacity in its own
operation. If so, the plant as a whole, which
may produce only a part of its rated capacity
would be using (for free!) twice as much
electricity as it produces and sells.
-Whatever the actual amount of consumption,
it could seriously diminish any claim of
providing a significant amount of energy.
Instead, it looks like industrial wind power
could turn out to be a laundering scheme:
"Dirty" energy goes in, "clean"
energy comes out.
Page 24
That would explain why developers demand
legislation to create a market for "green
credits" -- tokens of "clean"
energy like the indulgences sold by the medieval
church. Ego te absolvo.
-In large rotating power trains such as this,
if allowed to stand motionless for any period
of time, the unit will experience "bowing"
of shafts and rotors under the tremendous
weight. Therefore, frequent rotating of the
unit is necessary to prevent this. As an
example, even in port Navy ships keep their
propeller shafts and turbine power trains
slowly rotating. It is referred to as "jacking
the shaft" to prevent any tendency to
bow. Any bowing would throw the whole train
out of balance with potentially very serious
damage when bringing the power train back
on line.
-In addition to just protecting the gear
box and generator shafts and bearings, the
blades on a large wind turbine would offer
a special challenge with respect to preventing
warping and bowing when not in use. For example,
on a sunny, windless day, idle wind turbine
blades would experience uneven heating from
the sun, something that would certainly cause
bowing and warping. The only way to prevent
this would be to keep the blades moving to
even out the sun exposure to all parts of
the blade.
-So, the point that major amounts of incoming
electrical power is used to turn the power
train and blades when the wind is not blowing
is very accurate, and it is not something
the operators of large wind turbines can
avoid.
Page 25
-In addition, there is the likely need for
a hefty, forced-feed lubricating system for
the shaft and turbine blade assembly bearings.
This would be a major hotel load. One can't
imagine passive lubrication (as for the wheel
bearings on your car) for an application
like this. Maybe so, but it would be very
surprising.
Assuming they have to have a forced-feed
lubrication system, given the weight on those
bearings (40 tons on the bearing for the
rotor and blades alone) a very robust (energy
sucking) lubricating oil system would be
required. It would also have to include cooling
for the oil and an energy-sucking lube oil
purification system too."
One need only ask utilities to show how much
"dirty" electricity they purchase
because of wind-generated power to see that
something is amiss in the wind industry's
claims. If wind worked and were not mere
window dressing, the industry would trot
out some real numbers. But they don't. One
begins to suspect that they can't.
|